Monday, January 28, 2019

Murderbowl 2018 Review

From the Billy Beane of urban violence, Manny Soprano.

2018 proved to be another impressive year across the nation.  The boost in murders, first fomented in 2015 under the direction of President Frothy Latte, has sustained for another year in America's medium-sized cities, especially those with certain characteristics.  Manny has prepared the tables below and I have added some commentary.

Table 1 (click to view a high resolution pic):

Notes:
(1) Some cities, such as Harm City, Brick City, and Motor City, specifically separate out non-fatal shootings from homicides. For those cities, the shooting figure above is sum of both categories.
(2) Four police shootings are included in the Oregonian report dated 1/1/19! Subtracting these police shootings, homicides are 29.
(3)Portland does not report non-fatal shootings to my limited research. This number is extrapolated from statewide data. It is reported by Statesman Journal 5/20/18, that each year Oregon experiences 63 gun-related homicides and 160 non-fatal shootings. Unintentional shootings and suicides are not included in those figures. Using the reported 33 homicides as a factor, Portland would account for 52% of homicides. To estimate total shot, I assigned Portland an equal percentage of state-wide non-fatal shootings.

Chicago leads the way in shootings, homicides and geographical area.  Portland is the clear outlier in the set, with few homicides and mocked up shooting stats that I tend to think are overstated.  Brick City is a compact urban zone and puts up respectable shooting numbers for it's size but comes in with the worst lethality rate at 17%.  Harm City is the top dog in lethality, especially considering that the overall shooting number is high given the size of the city, both in geographical and population terms.

The figures above show us that Chicongo is incredibly trigger happy but decidedly lacking when it comes to lethality, in fourth place out of five.  The geographical statistics here hint at the importance of local considerations.  Mortal combat is largely confined to certain areas within these municipalities, so a street-by-street analysis would show an even more stark difference between danger zones and White-Devil-topias than the order of magnitude we see here.


Table 2 (click to view a high resolution pic):


Manny has kindly risked his social credit score by breaking down the population and shooting numbers according to the proportion of the population bearing Ebon skin tones.  This has the effect of smoothing the statistics somewhat when it comes to the White Devil's new city of denizence!

Please use caution when viewing crime statistics, this is for recreational purposes only!


(c) 2019 Manny Soprano & Lynn Lockhart

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